Chapter 50: Predict when the war will break out? (Please collect, vote monthly, recommend, and read more)

There was silence in the synagogue.

Everyone is thinking about what Zhuge Weidao said.

Although the Ming Dynasty has been "cowardly" for more than a hundred years, in the past hundred years or so, the Ming Dynasty has undoubtedly been the pole of the world!

Although the British Empire's tail is raised very high and its claws are extended very long, the hegemony of central, eastern and northern Eurasia is still firmly controlled by the Ming Dynasty. The British control of India and the Strait of Malacca is also under the control of the Ming Dynasty.

Achieved under the premise of ensuring the economic interests of Ming Dynasty - this kind of control was actually "bought" by the British with real money and silver, not by relying on strong ships and cannons.

For more than a hundred years, the Ming Dynasty has been exporting handicrafts and industrial products through the United Kingdom and the Netherlands, while importing gold and silver. This means that the capital needed for the development of industrialization in the Ming Dynasty can be easily obtained without plundering and colonization.

.Since most of the silver and a considerable part of the gold that Europeans plundered from the New World flowed into the Ming Dynasty, this means that Europe itself was the largest export market for the Ming Dynasty's industrial and handicraft products.

The resources needed for the development of industrialization in Ming Dynasty, such as cotton, soybeans, rubber, palm oil, coal, iron ore, petroleum, tin ore, wood, rice, etc., can either be obtained from the vast mainland or from overseas provinces and Siam.

It was obtained by vassal states in Southeast Asia such as Luo, Annan, and Ava.

Of course, India also has a huge market. But before India was conquered by the Europeans, it had always been a surplus country in the export of goods. It was difficult for external goods to be imported into India. Historically, it was difficult for foreign cloth produced in Britain after the Industrial Revolution to be exported.

To open up the local market in India, in the end, administrative measures had to be used to destroy India's homespun cloth production.

The national policy of the Ming Dynasty has always been to expand the mainland without colonization. When seeing a place like India with a population larger than that of the Ming Dynasty (currently India’s population is not as large as that of the Ming Dynasty), of course it has to be avoided.

So Ming Dynasty didn’t care much about the expansion of the British Empire in India - even if it did, it didn’t know what to do? It seems stupid to help India resist the British. If India rises and becomes a white-eyed wolf, then Ming Dynasty should not cry.

blind?

And fighting for India with the British does not seem to be in line with the national policy of the Ming Dynasty. If we seize it without colonizing it, it will be even worse if we treat it as a native land!

Moreover, shipping at that time was still in the transition stage from sail to steam, and the sail battleships of the Ming Dynasty were still unable to compete with the British (King Zhuge Wuzhong did not understand sailing and navigation, and did not have a golden finger to sail). In addition, the distance between the two sides was far enough.

Without the Suez Canal, it is a full 15,000 nautical miles. Using sailing ships to transport troops would be impossible to pose a threat to an industrialized country over such a long distance.

Therefore, the Ming Dynasty chose to maintain a "win-win relationship" with the United Kingdom - for the Ming Dynasty, which had some excess production after industrialization, there was really no reason to go to war with its largest market.

But this harmonious situation, as the world becomes "smaller and smaller" and Britain fully realizes industrialization, is about to and will come to an end!

However, when this "soon" will become a reality is still a question mark.

"Daozi," Li Tiezhu, chief of naval intelligence, was the first to ask, "How long will there be for peace?"

Standing in front of a huge world map, Zhuge Weidao replied: "When the technological progress brought about by the Industrial Revolution comes to an end, peace will end at that time, and world-wide war will inevitably break out.

Because when technological progress comes to an end, the world economy will lack incremental growth for a long period of time, causing all powerful countries to turn to stock competition.

At the same time, due to the mismatch between the huge production capacity brought about by the industrial revolution and market demand, as well as the supply capacity of raw materials, production will experience a substantial surplus after the temporary cessation of technological progress. For the market, the competition for raw materials must be

It will push Ming and Great Britain towards hostility.

In addition, the technological advancements brought about by the Industrial Revolution have actually 'shrunk' our world, making it possible for a superpower to dominate the world's oceans!

Finally, due to the rapid advancement of military technology, the great powers including Great Britain and Rakshasa have developed the illusion that they are powerful, which will also make them become more warlike than ever before!"

"Daozi," Li Tiezhu asked again, "can you calculate when peace will end?"

Of course Zhuge Weidao can't do it. He has not revealed his identity as a military advisor, and theoretically has not obtained the "algorithm" passed down from his ancestors. However, there are still people present who can do it!

Zhuge Weiyi, the Minister of Naval Armament, was already counting his fingers. After counting, he interjected: "Fifteen to twenty years! The tonnage of battleships will double in fifteen to twenty years. By then, large battleships will

The standard displacement of the warship will exceed 30,000 tons, a 400mm-caliber main gun may also appear, and a new fuel main engine will provide the warship with more than 100,000 horsepower. After this, it will be very difficult to continue to make progress.

After all, if the battleship is built too big, the draft will become very deep and the hull will become very wide. Many ports cannot be docked, and shallow water and narrow channels are difficult to pass. Moreover, it is necessary to maintain a high speed.

Develop ultra-high-power marine main engine”

This is the advantage of being able to calculate!

The battleships during World War I were almost like this. Although technology improved again during World War II, the rate of progress slowed down significantly, and was incomparable to the rate of technological advancement of battleships before World War I.

As military technology continues to advance, officers in the army and navy will feel that they are not ready yet, so a war will be less likely to break out. But once technological progress slows down significantly, officers will feel that they already have the most powerful force.

Weapons. If you don’t fight now, when will you wait?

At this time, Zhuge Weidao took over the topic and said: "Fifteen to twenty years is not too long. We can prepare now for this war that is bound to come. This is not because we want to provoke a war, but

We have to face a war! Everything we do now is to ensure victory in the future!"

People in the auditorium turned their attention to Zhuge Weiyi, who was "good at pinching and calculating". This "shipbuilding minister" stroked his beard and said, "Soldiers are a major event for the country, a place of life and death, and a way of survival.

Be prepared!"

Zhuge Weiyi is the military advisor of the Zhuge family, and his words certainly represent the military advisors!

The officials present have long been accustomed to being guided by military advisors. Although they sometimes feel that the military advisors are a bit cowardly, those who have invested with these cowardly advisors for more than a hundred years have made a lot of money, so

Listen to them, they are right!

"Daozi," the questioner was Zheng Guoan, the Minister of the Navy and Prince of Yanping County, "How should we prepare?"

"Reporting to Shangshu," Zhuge Weidao said, "The lower official believes that our preparations should be divided into two aspects. First, we must prepare ourselves well and not hope for a quick victory, but prepare to fight a war that will last ten years.

!”

Ten years is Zhuge Weidao's prediction of the possible duration of a world war in this timeline - in another timeline, World War I lasted just over four years because the Allies ran out of resources

It ended with conditional surrender. However, the resources possessed by the Allied Powers and the two world empires of Great Britain and Ming Dynasty were completely incomparable. Moreover, the mainland of Great Britain and Ming Dynasty were far away from each other and would hardly be directly attacked by their opponents, so

If you can have a relatively stable rear area, you will be even less likely to admit defeat easily.

Zhuge Weidao now said "ten years", which is still a fairly optimistic expectation. If you are more pessimistic, the Thirty Years War is still possible!

The people present did not realize how terrifying this war that might last for ten years was, but they were all a little eager to try it.

Zhuge Weidao continued: "The second preparation we have to make is to weaken the enemy as much as possible before the war begins. There are two specific methods I can think of now. One is to try to provoke the British and

The war between the Jin Kingdom and the Jin Dynasty caused Britain to fall into the quagmire of the war in Central Asia and find it difficult to extricate itself, thus wasting national power and losing prestige; secondly, it took advantage of the opportunity to carry out negotiations on limiting naval armaments and dividing spheres of influence to deceive and mislead Britain, making them ineffective.

Limited financial resources are consumed on armament projects.

According to my estimation, until the end of this war with the British, we may still not be able to reach their homeland, and the outcome will be decided by exhausting their financial resources and depriving them of their most valuable colonies!"

Zhang recommends a new book about the late Ming Dynasty that is already on the shelves, "Chongzhen's Arms of the Ming Dynasty"

After Zhu Youjian traveled through Chongzhen, he found that he only had a hanging rope and an old eunuch. He stood at Meishan and watched Li Zicheng's men and horses running around in the palace, feeling like crying but without tears.

At least give me a system!

At least give me a plug-in!

At least give me some money!

No, nothing, death starts...
Chapter completed!