After eating, Lu Cheng rubbed the bridge of his nose between his eyes vigorously to lift his spirits!

Lu Cheng felt that he was wronged enough. He was just a good orthopedic surgeon, but now he took the initiative to get involved in statistics-related work, which was a bit painful.

But, to be honest, Lu Cheng felt that no matter which department he was a doctor in, as long as he encountered such a thing, he could not just stand by and pretend that such a thing had not happened.

Although, Lu Cheng could completely pretend that it didn't happen, as long as he didn't talk about it himself, it would have nothing to do with him.

There are so many people in the professional field supporting it, and it has nothing to do with Lu Cheng, a person in the surgical field.

Even in the current medical system implemented in China, professional people do professional things well and there is a clear division of labor!

He didn't know that Qian Min's authority was quite special, or maybe Qian Min's ability was very outstanding, so he quickly delivered the information Lu Cheng wanted to the door of Lu Cheng's room.

After handing over to Lu Cheng, Lu Cheng was given masks and protective clothing, because according to tomorrow's daily routine, the place Lu Cheng needs to go is a relatively dangerous place. Although there is someone accompanying him, Lu Cheng still needs to go

An on-site inspection.

After doing this, Qian Min said again: "Teacher Lu, you should also pay attention to taking a good rest."

"Anyone who wanted to visit you in P City today was rejected by me. If you have any friends in P City, you can let me know."

Lu Cheng shook his head and said, "I have no friends in P City. Thank you for your hard work, Qian Min."

Although Qian Min asked Lu Cheng to call him Xiao Qian, Lu Cheng was still not used to such a title, so he simply called Qian Min by his first name.

But what puzzled Lu Cheng was that he, Lu Chengdu, had just arrived in P City and was assigned a temporary assignment. Why would anyone know that he was responsible for investigating the source of P City's UID?

Lu Cheng could understand that these people would come to visit, because referring to H City, it would be understandable if the relevant leaders were temporarily dismissed and transferred from their posts...

Lu Cheng looked through the information collected from P City and felt a little headache.

These materials are very scattered and have obviously not been specially organized, so they are basically messy. Because from the data inside, Lu Cheng feels that it is too text-based and basically repeats the standards of H City to balance the situation.

The UID in P city.

There is absolutely no standard or measurement of its own.

However, Fang Xian can also understand that the inexplicable virus Virus (VI) has just appeared, and it is difficult to interpret it in P City.

However, the multiple mutation characteristics of VI need to be taken into consideration first.

Moreover, through the previous statistical data of P City, Lu Cheng had a not very good guess——

The VI of City P is not necessarily the same thing as City H.

Because, generally speaking, although the RO value of a VI will vary to a certain extent, the difference will not be particularly large and will be stable around the same value. However, the differences between H City and P City must also be taken into consideration

Differences in population density…

After reading it for more than an hour, Lu Cheng felt that the reference significance of this information was not very great.

Immediately afterwards, Lu Cheng used the small crawler software Dong Zhen passed on to him and continued to read the new rounds of statistical data...

This is not because Lu Cheng is too unfounded.

When Lu Cheng discovered the first UID and the first patient with suspected VI infection, he traced the corresponding travel history and found that there was no special correlation. If there is no correlation, then the factors that need to be considered must be more.

Much more.

You must not look for similarities in a formulaic way and regard the contents in textbooks as absolute edicts.

Although the possibility of a multi-shot, multi-point network transmission structure is very small. When analyzed, this kind of structure will make life worse than death, but the reality may often be more cruel than the theory...

If you think a little more, you won't make too many mistakes.

From H City to P City, Lu Chengcheng discovered something was wrong.

Before Lu Cheng, he went from Shashi to Yashi, then to Magic City, and then to Guangzhou Province. Therefore, when he focused on checking the data of these places, he did not find any special differences. Only in P

When I visited the city, I discovered that there was a special situation with the R0 value!

If you look at it according to basic common sense, since there is no special difference in R0 value between the three points of Shashi, Yashi, and Magic City, but the distance between the three is so far, then there are two possibilities.

When City H went to Shashi, Yashi, and Magic City, there were almost the same number of people.

However, the number of people moving from City H to these three places is obviously different. And there is also a certain difference in distance. Calculating it this way, there should be a point in the middle of these three places that will affect the city at the same time.

R0 values ​​and VI numbers to these three places.

What the hell happened to this?

This is something that Lu Cheng did not even mention to Lin Hui. Of course, this is also the worst outcome. Lu Cheng hopes that the final fact will never be like this.

Nowadays, the measures against UID are tough enough, and H City has been fully SEALed!

Other important central cities have also been sealed successively.

If there is such a big impact at this time, it will only cause more panic and will have no other meaning.

Reducing liquidity is already the best way to control the UID explosion.

After Lu Cheng once again analyzed the new two rounds of data, Lu Cheng once again discovered two inconsistent points...

City Z in Province J...

City X in Province S...

City Z and City X are both large cities similar to City H. Their population and medical technology are no worse than those of City H. Therefore, these statistics are credible...

As soon as these two things came out, Lu Cheng was sure almost immediately.

This is a multi-point mesh structure.

If we simply pay attention to City H, it would be too restrictive.

Don't be careless.

Thinking of this, Lu Cheng immediately turned on his computer and wrote an email to his teacher explaining the situation. He also packaged and sent his analysis graphs of the past few days, as well as the graphs of the crawler software, etc.

past.

Lu Cheng is alone and has already arrived in P City, so he will definitely not be able to escape.

H City was the first place where Lu Cheng discovered something was wrong with RO, and P City was the second.

City X and City Z were discovered by Lu Cheng through statistical analysis of existing data. This cannot be said to be wrong in Lin Hui calling Lu Cheng to other places. On the contrary, Lu Cheng was allowed to escape in the first place.

Let’s get rid of a simple limited circle at the beginning and look at the problem from a global perspective.

Many theories were put forward earlier, and the significance of this matter is even greater.

Although the current result is the worst, it is the last thing anyone wants to see.

However, since this kind of thing has happened, the more mature way to deal with it is to deal with it.

Not long after Lu Cheng's email was sent, Lin Hui called immediately with a very serious tone.

Said: "Lu Cheng, the National Health Commission has received notification to prepare for the temporary establishment of an emergency expert discussion group on ANTI-X-VI. You are also a member of the expert discussion group, and you are the first speaker."

"The meeting will be held in fifteen minutes. Please prepare the existing information and organize the language."

"It doesn't matter whether you say it well or not, but you must speak out the seriousness of the problem and make it clear."

"The process of data analysis must be exquisite. It doesn't matter whether others can understand it or not. The process of data analysis must be demonstrated. There are always people who can understand it, because this time the expert discussion group covers various fields."

Speaking of this, Lin Hui took another deep breath and said hoarsely: "Currently, the number of UIDs has exceeded 2,000+!"

"If this trend continues, I really don't know if the final multiple will exceed the current one thousand!"

No one can answer this question now. Even Lu Cheng doesn't know whether he will go for research tomorrow or whether he will fall ill when he comes back.

So Lu Cheng could only say: "I don't know either."

"However, we must first determine the basic points, and then start from the basic points to control VI. This is the basic principle of epidemiology. No matter what, we must first find out how many points there are."

"Otherwise, the missing points will undo all the efforts elsewhere."

Lu Cheng said with a little fear in his heart.

The more he analyzed the data, the more Lu Cheng felt that the situation was getting bigger this time, and the more he needed to find a solution as soon as possible. Otherwise, there would be too many things involved.

It’s not just the number of UIDs.

Various fields such as culture, economy, and education will be extremely seriously affected.

Lin Hui didn't reply, obviously very tired.

After a while, he comforted: "No one wants this to happen, and no one can predict it. The most important thing now is to solve the problem. As for finding the cause?"

"We are just doctors."

"Master, no one is giving you any trouble, right?"

"I'm sorry, Master." Lu Cheng did not answer Lin Hui's words, but said.

Lin Hui shook his head and just said: "No, you are not sorry for me, but I want to say sorry."

"My own imagination was too one-sided. I didn't expect that it would develop into what it is now. In fact, no matter where you are, you can't escape. This may be fate."

"I'm not afraid to tell you something now. In the early stage, the number of our medical staff who were INFect(in) was not very large, but some staff involved in control have already been infected by 0.1 percent. At present, there is no better treatment method.

"

"Moreover, the existing basic experiments have not been able to isolate RNA, or even understand the shell of the virus, let alone the more in-depth mechanism. Our task is still very heavy."
To be continued...